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POL Pologne - Ekstraklasa · Match ·

Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.16 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile37%
Nul29%
Victoire à l’extérieur34%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Zaglebie LubinPogon Szczecin
Expected goals2.16Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de63% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
37% / 29% / 34%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.8%)Double chance1271.2%1.40
Plus de 37% · Moins de 63%Goals 2.5Moins de63%1.59
Oui 43% · Non 57%Les deux équipes marquentNon57%1.75
2.16 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.8 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.9%Largest probability gapPogon Szczecin winDifference-1.3 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Zaglebie Lubin win37%2.702.5536%+1.0 pp
Nul29%3.453.2028.7%+0.3 pp
Pogon Szczecin win34%2.942.6035.3%-1.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Zaglebie Lubin1.27

Domicile share of expected goals 58.8%

Total expected goals2.16Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 37% · Moins de 63%

Pogon Szczecin0.89

Extérieur share of expected goals 41.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 43% · Non 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Zaglebie Lubin

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Pogon Szczecin

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Gagné probability excluding draw
34%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.27
Expected goals
0.89
Zaglebie LubinPogon Szczecin
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Zaglebie Lubin signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pogon Szczecin signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Zaglebie Lubin victoire 37%,Nul 29%,Pogon Szczecin victoire 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.16 · Plus de 2.5 37% · Current selection Moins de