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Zagłębie Lubin vs Pogoń Szczecin

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–12.16 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy37%
Remis29%
Wygrana gości34%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Zagłębie LubinPogoń Szczecin
Expected goals2.16Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej63% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
37% / 29% / 34%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.8%)Podwójna szansa1271.2%1.40
Powyżej 37% · Poniżej 63%Goals 2.5Poniżej63%1.59
Tak 43% · Nie 57%Obie drużyny strzeląNie57%1.75
2.16 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
9.8 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.9%Largest probability gapPogoń Szczecin winDifference-1.3 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Zagłębie Lubin win37%2.702.5536%+1.0 pp
Remis29%3.453.2028.7%+0.3 pp
Pogoń Szczecin win34%2.942.6035.3%-1.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Zagłębie Lubin1.27

Gospodarze share of expected goals 58.8%

Total expected goals2.16Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 37% · Poniżej 63%

Pogoń Szczecin0.89

Goście share of expected goals 41.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 43% · Nie 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Zagłębie Lubin

2.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkty10

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Pogoń Szczecin

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
34%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.27
Expected goals
0.89
Zagłębie LubinPogoń Szczecin
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Zagłębie Lubin signalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pogoń Szczecin signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Zagłębie Lubin vs Pogoń Szczecin FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Zagłębie Lubin wygrana 37%,Remis 29%,Pogoń Szczecin wygrana 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.16 · Powyżej 2.5 37% · Current selection Poniżej