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POL Polska - Ekstraklasa · Mecz ·

Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia Białystok

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–12.67 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy45%
Remis27%
Wygrana gości28%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy45% selection probability
Projected score1–1Raków CzęstochowaJagiellonia Białystok
Expected goals2.67Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej50% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
45% / 27% / 28%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.1%)Podwójna szansa1272.9%1.37
Powyżej 50% · Poniżej 50%Goals 2.5Poniżej50%2.00
Tak 54% · Nie 46%Obie drużyny strzeląTak54%1.85
2.67 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
9.2 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.5%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.1 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Raków Częstochowa win45%2.222.0545%0.0 pp
Remis27%3.703.4027.1%-0.1 pp
Jagiellonia Białystok win28%3.573.3027.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Raków Częstochowa1.47

Gospodarze share of expected goals 55.1%

Total expected goals2.67Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 50% · Poniżej 50%

Jagiellonia Białystok1.20

Goście share of expected goals 44.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 54% · Nie 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Raków Częstochowa

1.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkty5

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Jagiellonia Białystok

2.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkty10

SignalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
28%
5
Points from supplied form
10
1.47
Expected goals
1.20
Raków CzęstochowaJagiellonia Białystok
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Raków Częstochowa signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Jagiellonia Białystok signalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia Białystok FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Raków Częstochowa wygrana 45%,Remis 27%,Jagiellonia Białystok wygrana 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.67 · Powyżej 2.5 50% · Current selection Poniżej