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POL Polen - Ekstraklasa · Wedstrijd ·

Rakow Czestochowa vs Jagiellonia Bialystok

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.67 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst45%
Gelijkspel27%
Uitwinst28%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst45% selection probability
Projected score1–1Rakow CzestochowaJagiellonia Bialystok
Expected goals2.67Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder50% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
45% / 27% / 28%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.1%)Dubbele Kans1272.9%1.37
Boven 50% · Onder 50%Goals 2.5Onder50%2.00
Ja 54% · Nee 46%Beide teams scorenJa54%1.85
2.67 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.2 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.5%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.1 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Rakow Czestochowa win45%2.222.0545%0.0 pp
Gelijkspel27%3.703.4027.1%-0.1 pp
Jagiellonia Bialystok win28%3.573.3027.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Rakow Czestochowa1.47

Thuis share of expected goals 55.1%

Total expected goals2.67Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 50% · Onder 50%

Jagiellonia Bialystok1.20

Uit share of expected goals 44.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 54% · Nee 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Rakow Czestochowa

1.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Jagiellonia Bialystok

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
28%
5
Points from supplied form
10
1.47
Expected goals
1.20
Rakow CzestochowaJagiellonia Bialystok
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Rakow Czestochowa signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Jagiellonia Bialystok signalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Rakow Czestochowa vs Jagiellonia Bialystok FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Rakow Czestochowa gewonnen 45%,Gelijkspel 27%,Jagiellonia Bialystok gewonnen 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.67 · Boven 2.5 50% · Current selection Onder