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POL Polen - Ekstraklasa · Wedstrijd ·

Górnik Zabrze vs GKS Katowice

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.59 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst49%
Gelijkspel26%
Uitwinst24%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst49% selection probability
Projected score1–1Górnik ZabrzeGKS Katowice
Expected goals2.59Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder52% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
49% / 26% / 24%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes GKS Katowice win (24.4%)Dubbele Kans1X75.6%1.32
Boven 48% · Onder 52%Goals 2.5Onder52%1.92
Ja 52% · Nee 48%Beide teams scorenJa52%1.92
2.59 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.7 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.5%Largest probability gapGórnik Zabrze winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Górnik Zabrze win49%2.041.8349.9%-0.9 pp
Gelijkspel26%3.853.5026.1%-0.1 pp
GKS Katowice win24%4.173.8024%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Górnik Zabrze1.47

Thuis share of expected goals 56.8%

Total expected goals2.59Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 48% · Onder 52%

GKS Katowice1.12

Uit share of expected goals 43.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 52% · Nee 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Górnik Zabrze

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

GKS Katowice

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9

SignalUit won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
24%
7
Points from supplied form
9
1.47
Expected goals
1.12
Górnik ZabrzeGKS Katowice
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Górnik Zabrze signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02GKS Katowice signalUit won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Górnik Zabrze vs GKS Katowice FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Górnik Zabrze gewonnen 49%,Gelijkspel 26%,GKS Katowice gewonnen 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.59 · Boven 2.5 48% · Current selection Onder