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POL Poland Ekstraklasa · Fixture ·

Gornik Zabrze vs GKS Katowice

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.59 expected goals
Away form
Home win49%
Draw26%
Away win24%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win49% selection probability
Projected score1–1Gornik ZabrzeGKS Katowice
Expected goals2.59Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under52% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
49% / 26% / 24%Match resultHome win49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes GKS Katowice win (24.4%)Double chance1X75.6%1.32
Over 48% · Under 52%Goals 2.5Under52%1.92
Yes 52% · No 48%Both teams scoreYes52%1.92
2.59 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.5%Largest probability gapGornik Zabrze winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Gornik Zabrze win49%2.041.8349.9%-0.9 pp
Draw26%3.853.5026.1%-0.1 pp
GKS Katowice win24%4.173.8024%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Gornik Zabrze1.47

Home share of expected goals 56.8%

Total expected goals2.59Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 48% · Under 52%

GKS Katowice1.12

Away share of expected goals 43.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Gornik Zabrze

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

GKS Katowice

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalAway won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Win probability excluding draw
24%
7
Points from supplied form
9
1.47
Expected goals
1.12
Gornik ZabrzeGKS Katowice
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Gornik Zabrze signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02GKS Katowice signalAway won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Gornik Zabrze vs GKS Katowice FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Gornik Zabrze win 49%,Draw 26%,GKS Katowice win 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.59 · Over 2.5 48% · Current selection Under