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POL Polónia - Ekstraklasa · Partida ·

Gornik Zabrze vs GKS Katowice

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–12.59 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa49%
Empate26%
Vitória visitante24%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa49% selection probability
Projected score1–1Gornik ZabrzeGKS Katowice
Expected goals2.59Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo52% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
49% / 26% / 24%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes GKS Katowice win (24.4%)Dupla Chance1X75.6%1.32
Acima 48% · Abaixo 52%Goals 2.5Abaixo52%1.92
Sim 52% · Não 48%Ambas as equipes marcamSim52%1.92
2.59 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
9.7 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.5%Largest probability gapGornik Zabrze winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Gornik Zabrze win49%2.041.8349.9%-0.9 pp
Empate26%3.853.5026.1%-0.1 pp
GKS Katowice win24%4.173.8024%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Gornik Zabrze1.47

Mandante share of expected goals 56.8%

Total expected goals2.59Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 48% · Abaixo 52%

GKS Katowice1.12

Visitante share of expected goals 43.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 52% · Não 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Gornik Zabrze

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

GKS Katowice

1.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Pontos9

SignalVisitante won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
24%
7
Points from supplied form
9
1.47
Expected goals
1.12
Gornik ZabrzeGKS Katowice
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Gornik Zabrze signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02GKS Katowice signalVisitante won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Gornik Zabrze vs GKS Katowice FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Gornik Zabrze ganhou 49%,Empate 26%,GKS Katowice ganhou 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.59 · Acima 2.5 48% · Current selection Abaixo