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POL Полша - Екстракласа · Мач ·

Гурник Забже vs ГКС Катовице

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.59 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина49%
Равен26%
Победа за госта24%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина49% selection probability
Projected score1–1Гурник ЗабжеГКС Катовице
Expected goals2.59Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под52% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
49% / 26% / 24%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ГКС Катовице win (24.4%)Двоен шанс1X75.6%1.32
Над 48% · Под 52%Goals 2.5Под52%1.92
Да 52% · Не 48%И двата отбора да отбележатДа52%1.92
2.59 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
9.7 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.5%Largest probability gapГурник Забже winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Гурник Забже win49%2.041.8349.9%-0.9 pp
Равен26%3.853.5026.1%-0.1 pp
ГКС Катовице win24%4.173.8024%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Гурник Забже1.47

Домакин share of expected goals 56.8%

Total expected goals2.59Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 48% · Под 52%

ГКС Катовице1.12

Гост share of expected goals 43.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 52% · Не 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Гурник Забже

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

ГКС Катовице

1.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Точки9

SignalГост won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
24%
7
Points from supplied form
9
1.47
Expected goals
1.12
Гурник ЗабжеГКС Катовице
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Гурник Забже signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ГКС Катовице signalГост won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Гурник Забже vs ГКС Катовице FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Гурник Забже печеливш 49%,Равен 26%,ГКС Катовице печеливш 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.59 · Над 2.5 48% · Current selection Под