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POL Польша - Экстракласса · Матч ·

Ракув Ченстохова vs Jagiellonia Bialystok

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.67 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев45%
Ничья27%
Победа гостей28%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев45% selection probability
Projected score1–1Ракув ЧенстоховаJagiellonia Bialystok
Expected goals2.67Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше50% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
45% / 27% / 28%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.1%)Двойной шанс1272.9%1.37
Больше 50% · Меньше 50%Goals 2.5Меньше50%2.00
Да 54% · Нет 46%Обе забьютДа54%1.85
2.67 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.2 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.5%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.1 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ракув Ченстохова win45%2.222.0545%0.0 pp
Ничья27%3.703.4027.1%-0.1 pp
Jagiellonia Bialystok win28%3.573.3027.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ракув Ченстохова1.47

Хозяева share of expected goals 55.1%

Total expected goals2.67Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 50% · Меньше 50%

Jagiellonia Bialystok1.20

Гости share of expected goals 44.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 54% · Нет 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Ракув Ченстохова

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Jagiellonia Bialystok

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
28%
5
Points from supplied form
10
1.47
Expected goals
1.20
Ракув ЧенстоховаJagiellonia Bialystok
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ракув Ченстохова signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Jagiellonia Bialystok signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Ракув Ченстохова vs Jagiellonia Bialystok FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ракув Ченстохова выигрыш 45%,Ничья 27%,Jagiellonia Bialystok выигрыш 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.67 · ТБ 2.5 50% · Current selection Меньше