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POL Polen - Ekstraklasa · Kamp ·

Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–12.16 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr37%
Uafgjort29%
Udesejr34%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Zaglebie LubinPogon Szczecin
Expected goals2.16Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under63% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
37% / 29% / 34%KampresultatHjemmesejr37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.8%)Dobbeltchance1271.2%1.40
Over 37% · Under 63%Goals 2.5Under63%1.59
Ja 43% · Nej 57%Begge hold scorerNej57%1.75
2.16 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.8 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.9%Largest probability gapPogon Szczecin winDifference-1.3 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Zaglebie Lubin win37%2.702.5536%+1.0 pp
Uafgjort29%3.453.2028.7%+0.3 pp
Pogon Szczecin win34%2.942.6035.3%-1.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Zaglebie Lubin1.27

Hjemme share of expected goals 58.8%

Total expected goals2.16Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 37% · Under 63%

Pogon Szczecin0.89

Ude share of expected goals 41.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 43% · Nej 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Zaglebie Lubin

2.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Point10

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Pogon Szczecin

1.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Point7

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Vundet probability excluding draw
34%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.27
Expected goals
0.89
Zaglebie LubinPogon Szczecin
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Zaglebie Lubin signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pogon Szczecin signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Zaglebie Lubin vundet 37%,Uafgjort 29%,Pogon Szczecin vundet 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.16 · Over 2.5 37% · Current selection Under