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POL Poľsko - Ekstraklasa · Zápas ·

Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score1–12.16 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich37%
Remíza29%
Výhra hostí34%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Zaglebie LubinPogon Szczecin
Expected goals2.16Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menej63% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
37% / 29% / 34%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.8%)Dvojitá šanca1271.2%1.40
Viac 37% · Menej 63%Goals 2.5Menej63%1.59
Áno 43% · Nie 57%Oba tímy skórujúNie57%1.75
2.16 total expected goalsPresné skóre1–1
9.8 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.9%Largest probability gapPogon Szczecin winDifference-1.3 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Zaglebie Lubin win37%2.702.5536%+1.0 pp
Remíza29%3.453.2028.7%+0.3 pp
Pogon Szczecin win34%2.942.6035.3%-1.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Zaglebie Lubin1.27

Domáci share of expected goals 58.8%

Total expected goals2.16Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Viac 37% · Menej 63%

Pogon Szczecin0.89

Hostia share of expected goals 41.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitÁno 43% · Nie 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Zaglebie Lubin

2.00pts / match
Odohrané5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Body10

SignalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Pogon Szczecin

1.40pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Body7

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Výhra probability excluding draw
34%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.27
Expected goals
0.89
Zaglebie LubinPogon Szczecin
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Zaglebie Lubin signalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pogon Szczecin signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Zaglebie Lubin výhra 37%,Remíza 29%,Pogon Szczecin výhra 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.16 · Viac 2.5 37% · Current selection Menej