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POL Pologne - Ekstraklasa · Round 1 ·

Legia Warsaw vs Slask Wroclaw

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–13.22 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile62%
Nul23%
Victoire à l’extérieur14%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 62% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile62% selection probability
Projected score2–1Legia WarsawSlask Wroclaw
Expected goals3.22Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de63% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
62% / 23% / 14%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Slask Wroclaw win (14.3%)Double chance1X85.7%1.17
Plus de 63% · Moins de 37%Goals 2.5Plus de63%1.59
Oui 57% · Non 43%Les deux équipes marquentOui57%1.75
3.22 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
9.1 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.6%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Legia Warsaw win62%1.611.4862.2%-0.2 pp
Nul23%4.353.9023.6%-0.6 pp
Slask Wroclaw win14%7.146.5014.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Legia Warsaw2.21

Domicile share of expected goals 68.6%

Total expected goals3.22Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 63% · Moins de 37%

Slask Wroclaw1.01

Extérieur share of expected goals 31.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 57% · Non 43%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Legia Warsaw

2.20pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Slask Wroclaw

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
62%
Gagné probability excluding draw
14%
11
Points from supplied form
5
2.21
Expected goals
1.01
Legia WarsawSlask Wroclaw
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Legia Warsaw signalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Slask Wroclaw signalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Legia Warsaw vs Slask Wroclaw FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Legia Warsaw victoire 62%,Nul 23%,Slask Wroclaw victoire 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.22 · Plus de 2.5 63% · Current selection Plus de