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POL Polen - Ekstraklasa · Round 1 ·

Legia Warszawa vs Slask Wroclaw

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–13.22 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger62%
Oavgjort23%
Bortaseger14%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 62% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger62% selection probability
Projected score2–1Legia WarszawaSlask Wroclaw
Expected goals3.22Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över63% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
62% / 23% / 14%MatchresultatHemmaseger62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Slask Wroclaw win (14.3%)Dubbelchans1X85.7%1.17
Över 63% · Under 37%Goals 2.5Över63%1.59
Ja 57% · Nej 43%Båda lagen gör målJa57%1.75
3.22 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.1 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.6%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Legia Warszawa win62%1.611.4862.2%-0.2 pp
Oavgjort23%4.353.9023.6%-0.6 pp
Slask Wroclaw win14%7.146.5014.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Legia Warszawa2.21

Hemma share of expected goals 68.6%

Total expected goals3.22Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 63% · Under 37%

Slask Wroclaw1.01

Borta share of expected goals 31.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 57% · Nej 43%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Legia Warszawa

2.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Poäng11

SignalHemma unbeaten 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Slask Wroclaw

1.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poäng5

SignalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
62%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
14%
11
Points from supplied form
5
2.21
Expected goals
1.01
Legia WarszawaSlask Wroclaw
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Legia Warszawa signalHemma unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Slask Wroclaw signalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Legia Warszawa vs Slask Wroclaw FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Legia Warszawa vunnen 62%,Oavgjort 23%,Slask Wroclaw vunnen 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.22 · Över 2.5 63% · Current selection Över