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POL Polen - Ekstraklasa · Round 1 ·

Wisla Plock vs Korona Kielce

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–11.76 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger35%
Oavgjort29%
Bortaseger36%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Wisla PlockKorona Kielce
Expected goals1.76Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under74% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
35% / 29% / 36%MatchresultatBortaseger36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.1%)Dubbelchans1270.9%1.41
Över 26% · Under 74%Goals 2.5Under74%1.35
Ja 35% · Nej 65%Båda lagen gör målNej65%1.54
1.76 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.9 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.9%Largest probability gapWisla Plock winDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Wisla Plock win35%2.862.6035.3%-0.3 pp
Oavgjort29%3.453.2028.7%+0.3 pp
Korona Kielce win36%2.782.5536%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Wisla Plock0.83

Hemma share of expected goals 47.2%

Total expected goals1.76Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 26% · Under 74%

Korona Kielce0.93

Borta share of expected goals 52.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 35% · Nej 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Wisla Plock

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Korona Kielce

1.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poäng5

SignalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
36%
7
Points from supplied form
5
0.83
Expected goals
0.93
Wisla PlockKorona Kielce
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Wisla Plock signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Korona Kielce signalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Wisla Plock vs Korona Kielce FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Wisla Plock vunnen 35%,Oavgjort 29%,Korona Kielce vunnen 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.76 · Över 2.5 26% · Current selection Under