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POL Poland Ekstraklasa · Round 1 ·

Wisla Plock vs Korona Kielce

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–11.76 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır35%
Beraberlik29%
Deplasman kazanır36%
Full model forecastDeplasman kazanırTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callDeplasman kazanır36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Wisla PlockKorona Kielce
Expected goals1.76Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alt74% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
35% / 29% / 36%Maç sonucuDeplasman kazanır36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.1%)Çifte Şans1270.9%1.41
Üst 26% · Alt 74%Goals 2.5Alt74%1.35
Evet 35% · Hayır 65%Karşılıklı gol varHayır65%1.54
1.76 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–1
9.9 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.9%Largest probability gapWisla Plock winDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Wisla Plock win35%2.862.6035.3%-0.3 pp
Beraberlik29%3.453.2028.7%+0.3 pp
Korona Kielce win36%2.782.5536%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Wisla Plock0.83

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 47.2%

Total expected goals1.76Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üst 26% · Alt 74%

Korona Kielce0.93

Deplasman share of expected goals 52.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitEvet 35% · Hayır 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Wisla Plock

1.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puan7

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Korona Kielce

1.00pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puan5

SignalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
36%
7
Points from supplied form
5
0.83
Expected goals
0.93
Wisla PlockKorona Kielce
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Wisla Plock signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Korona Kielce signalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Wisla Plock vs Korona Kielce FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Deplasman kazanır · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Wisla Plock kazanç 35%,Beraberlik 29%,Korona Kielce kazanç 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.76 · 2.5 Üst 26% · Current selection Alt