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POL Polonia - Ekstraklasa · Round 1 ·

Wisla Plock vs Korona Kielce

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–11.76 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local35%
Empate29%
Victoria visitante36%
Full model forecastVictoria visitanteTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Wisla PlockKorona Kielce
Expected goals1.76Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de74% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
35% / 29% / 36%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.1%)Doble Oportunidad1270.9%1.41
Más de 26% · Menos de 74%Goals 2.5Menos de74%1.35
Sí 35% · No 65%Ambos equipos marcanNo65%1.54
1.76 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.9 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.9%Largest probability gapWisla Plock winDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Wisla Plock win35%2.862.6035.3%-0.3 pp
Empate29%3.453.2028.7%+0.3 pp
Korona Kielce win36%2.782.5536%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Wisla Plock0.83

Local share of expected goals 47.2%

Total expected goals1.76Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 26% · Menos de 74%

Korona Kielce0.93

Visitante share of expected goals 52.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 35% · No 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Wisla Plock

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Korona Kielce

1.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puntos5

SignalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Ganado probability excluding draw
36%
7
Points from supplied form
5
0.83
Expected goals
0.93
Wisla PlockKorona Kielce
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Wisla Plock signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Korona Kielce signalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Wisla Plock vs Korona Kielce FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Wisla Plock ganada 35%,Empate 29%,Korona Kielce ganada 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.76 · Más de 2.5 26% · Current selection Menos de