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POL Poland Ekstraklasa · Round 1 ·

Wisla Plock vs Korona Kielce

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score1–11.76 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng35%
Hòa29%
Đội khách thắng36%
Full model forecastĐội khách thắngTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callĐội khách thắng36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Wisla PlockKorona Kielce
Expected goals1.76Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Xỉu74% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Tài 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
35% / 29% / 36%Kết quả trận đấuĐội khách thắng36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.1%)Cơ hội kép1270.9%1.41
Tài 26% · Xỉu 74%Goals 2.5Xỉu74%1.35
Có 35% · Không 65%Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông65%1.54
1.76 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác1–1
9.9 expected match cornersPhạt gócTài 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.9%Largest probability gapWisla Plock winDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Wisla Plock win35%2.862.6035.3%-0.3 pp
Hòa29%3.453.2028.7%+0.3 pp
Korona Kielce win36%2.782.5536%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Wisla Plock0.83

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 47.2%

Total expected goals1.76Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Tài 26% · Xỉu 74%

Korona Kielce0.93

Khách share of expected goals 52.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 35% · Không 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Wisla Plock

1.40pts / match
Số trận5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Điểm7

SignalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Korona Kielce

1.00pts / match
Số trận5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Điểm5

SignalChủ nhà clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Thắng probability excluding draw
36%
7
Points from supplied form
5
0.83
Expected goals
0.93
Wisla PlockKorona Kielce
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Wisla Plock signalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Korona Kielce signalChủ nhà clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Wisla Plock vs Korona Kielce FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Đội khách thắng · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Wisla Plock thắng 35%,Hòa 29%,Korona Kielce thắng 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.76 · Tài 2.5 26% · Current selection Xỉu