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POL Poola Ekstraklasa · Round 1 ·

Wisła Plock vs Korona Kielce

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score1–11.76 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit35%
Viik29%
Võõrsilvõit36%
Full model forecastVõõrsilvõitTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVõõrsilvõit36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Wisła PlockKorona Kielce
Expected goals1.76Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alla74% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Üle 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
35% / 29% / 36%Mängu tulemusVõõrsilvõit36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.1%)Topeltvõimalus1270.9%1.41
Üle 26% · Alla 74%Goals 2.5Alla74%1.35
Jah 35% · Ei 65%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi65%1.54
1.76 total expected goalsTäpne skoor1–1
9.9 expected match cornersNurgalöögidÜle 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.9%Largest probability gapWisła Plock winDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Wisła Plock win35%2.862.6035.3%-0.3 pp
Viik29%3.453.2028.7%+0.3 pp
Korona Kielce win36%2.782.5536%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Wisła Plock0.83

Kodu share of expected goals 47.2%

Total expected goals1.76Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üle 26% · Alla 74%

Korona Kielce0.93

Võõras share of expected goals 52.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJah 35% · Ei 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Wisła Plock

1.40pts / match
Mängitud5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punktid7

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 3/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Korona Kielce

1.00pts / match
Mängitud5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punktid5

SignalKodu clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Võit probability excluding draw
36%
7
Points from supplied form
5
0.83
Expected goals
0.93
Wisła PlockKorona Kielce
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Wisła Plock signalKodu matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Korona Kielce signalKodu clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Wisła Plock vs Korona Kielce FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Võõrsilvõit · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Wisła Plock võit 35%,Viik 29%,Korona Kielce võit 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.76 · Üle 2.5 26% · Current selection Alla