Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
56% / 26% / 18%Match resultHome win56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Barranquilla FC win (18.1%)Double chance1X81.9%1.22
Over 50% · Under 50%Goals 2.5Over50%2.00
Yes 52% · No 48%Both teams scoreYes52%1.92
2.68 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
8.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin7.4%Largest probability gapPatriotas FC winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Patriotas FC win56%1.791.6556.4%-0.4 pp
Draw26%3.853.6025.9%+0.1 pp
Barranquilla FC win18%5.565.2517.7%+0.3 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 61.9%
Total expected goals2.68Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 50% · Under 50%
Away share of expected goals 38.1%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchPatriotas FC
DWLWW
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchBarranquilla FC
DLLDD
Played5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3
SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
56%
Win probability excluding draw
18%10
Points from supplied form
31.66
Expected goals
1.02Patriotas FCBarranquilla FC
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.
Match questions
Patriotas FC vs Barranquilla FC FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Patriotas FC win 56%，Draw 26%，Barranquilla FC win 18%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.68 · Over 2.5 50% · Current selection Over。