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COL Colômbia - Primera B · Partida ·

Patriotas FC vs Barranquilla FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–12.68 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa55%
Empate26%
Vitória visitante19%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Patriotas FCBarranquilla FC
Expected goals2.68Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Acima50% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
55% / 26% / 19%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Barranquilla FC win (18.9%)Dupla Chance1X81.1%1.23
Acima 50% · Abaixo 50%Goals 2.5Acima50%2.00
Sim 52% · Não 48%Ambas as equipes marcamSim52%1.92
2.68 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
8.7 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.7%Largest probability gapPatriotas FC winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Patriotas FC win55%1.821.6755.6%-0.6 pp
Empate26%3.853.6025.8%+0.2 pp
Barranquilla FC win19%5.265.0018.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Patriotas FC1.66

Mandante share of expected goals 61.9%

Total expected goals2.68Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 50% · Abaixo 50%

Barranquilla FC1.02

Visitante share of expected goals 38.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 52% · Não 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Patriotas FC

2.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontos10

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Barranquilla FC

0.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Pontos3

SignalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
19%
10
Points from supplied form
3
1.66
Expected goals
1.02
Patriotas FCBarranquilla FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Patriotas FC signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Barranquilla FC signalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Patriotas FC vs Barranquilla FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Patriotas FC ganhou 55%,Empate 26%,Barranquilla FC ganhou 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.68 · Acima 2.5 50% · Current selection Acima