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COL Colombia - Categoría Primera B · Partido ·

Patriotas Boyacá vs Barranquilla FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–12.68 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local56%
Empate26%
Victoria visitante18%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local56% selection probability
Projected score2–1Patriotas BoyacáBarranquilla FC
Expected goals2.68Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de50% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
56% / 26% / 18%Resultado del partidoVictoria local56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Barranquilla FC win (18.1%)Doble Oportunidad1X81.9%1.22
Más de 50% · Menos de 50%Goals 2.5Más de50%2.00
Sí 52% · No 48%Ambos equipos marcan52%1.92
2.68 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
8.7 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.4%Largest probability gapPatriotas Boyacá winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Patriotas Boyacá win56%1.791.6556.4%-0.4 pp
Empate26%3.853.6025.9%+0.1 pp
Barranquilla FC win18%5.565.2517.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Patriotas Boyacá1.66

Local share of expected goals 61.9%

Total expected goals2.68Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 50% · Menos de 50%

Barranquilla FC1.02

Visitante share of expected goals 38.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Patriotas Boyacá

2.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puntos10

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Barranquilla FC

0.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Puntos3

SignalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Ganado probability excluding draw
18%
10
Points from supplied form
3
1.66
Expected goals
1.02
Patriotas BoyacáBarranquilla FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Patriotas Boyacá signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Barranquilla FC signalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Patriotas Boyacá vs Barranquilla FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Patriotas Boyacá ganada 56%,Empate 26%,Barranquilla FC ganada 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.68 · Más de 2.5 50% · Current selection Más de