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COL Колумбия - Примера B · Мач ·

Патриотас vs Баранкила

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–12.68 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина56%
Равен26%
Победа за госта18%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина56% selection probability
Projected score2–1ПатриотасБаранкила
Expected goals2.68Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над50% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
56% / 26% / 18%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Баранкила win (18.1%)Двоен шанс1X81.9%1.22
Над 50% · Под 50%Goals 2.5Над50%2.00
Да 52% · Не 48%И двата отбора да отбележатДа52%1.92
2.68 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
8.7 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.4%Largest probability gapПатриотас winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Патриотас win56%1.791.6556.4%-0.4 pp
Равен26%3.853.6025.9%+0.1 pp
Баранкила win18%5.565.2517.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Патриотас1.66

Домакин share of expected goals 61.9%

Total expected goals2.68Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 50% · Под 50%

Баранкила1.02

Гост share of expected goals 38.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 52% · Не 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Патриотас

2.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Точки10

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Баранкила

0.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Точки3

SignalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
18%
10
Points from supplied form
3
1.66
Expected goals
1.02
ПатриотасБаранкила
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Патриотас signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Баранкила signalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Патриотас vs Баранкила FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Патриотас печеливш 56%,Равен 26%,Баранкила печеливш 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.68 · Над 2.5 50% · Current selection Над