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COL Colombie - Primera B · Match ·

Patriotas FC vs Barranquilla FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.68 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile56%
Nul26%
Victoire à l’extérieur18%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile56% selection probability
Projected score2–1Patriotas FCBarranquilla FC
Expected goals2.68Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de50% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
56% / 26% / 18%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Barranquilla FC win (18.1%)Double chance1X81.9%1.22
Plus de 50% · Moins de 50%Goals 2.5Plus de50%2.00
Oui 52% · Non 48%Les deux équipes marquentOui52%1.92
2.68 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
8.7 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.4%Largest probability gapPatriotas FC winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Patriotas FC win56%1.791.6556.4%-0.4 pp
Nul26%3.853.6025.9%+0.1 pp
Barranquilla FC win18%5.565.2517.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Patriotas FC1.66

Domicile share of expected goals 61.9%

Total expected goals2.68Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 50% · Moins de 50%

Barranquilla FC1.02

Extérieur share of expected goals 38.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 52% · Non 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Patriotas FC

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Barranquilla FC

0.60pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Gagné probability excluding draw
18%
10
Points from supplied form
3
1.66
Expected goals
1.02
Patriotas FCBarranquilla FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Patriotas FC signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Barranquilla FC signalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Patriotas FC vs Barranquilla FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Patriotas FC victoire 56%,Nul 26%,Barranquilla FC victoire 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.68 · Plus de 2.5 50% · Current selection Plus de