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COL Κολομβία - Πριμέρα Β · Αγώνας ·

Πατριότας FC vs Μπαρανγκίγια

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–12.68 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου56%
Ισοπαλία26%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου18%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου56% selection probability
Projected score2–1Πατριότας FCΜπαρανγκίγια
Expected goals2.68Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω50% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
56% / 26% / 18%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Μπαρανγκίγια win (18.1%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X81.9%1.22
Άνω 50% · Κάτω 50%Goals 2.5Άνω50%2.00
Ναι 52% · Όχι 48%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι52%1.92
2.68 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
8.7 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.4%Largest probability gapΠατριότας FC winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Πατριότας FC win56%1.791.6556.4%-0.4 pp
Ισοπαλία26%3.853.6025.9%+0.1 pp
Μπαρανγκίγια win18%5.565.2517.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Πατριότας FC1.66

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 61.9%

Total expected goals2.68Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 50% · Κάτω 50%

Μπαρανγκίγια1.02

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 38.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 52% · Όχι 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Πατριότας FC

2.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Πόντοι10

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Μπαρανγκίγια

0.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Πόντοι3

SignalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
18%
10
Points from supplied form
3
1.66
Expected goals
1.02
Πατριότας FCΜπαρανγκίγια
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Πατριότας FC signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Μπαρανγκίγια signalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Πατριότας FC vs Μπαρανγκίγια FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Πατριότας FC νίκη 56%,Ισοπαλία 26%,Μπαρανγκίγια νίκη 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.68 · Άνω 2.5 50% · Current selection Άνω