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COL Kolumbia - Primera B · Mecz ·

Patriotas FC vs Barranquilla FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–12.68 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy56%
Remis26%
Wygrana gości18%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy56% selection probability
Projected score2–1Patriotas FCBarranquilla FC
Expected goals2.68Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej50% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
56% / 26% / 18%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Barranquilla FC win (18.1%)Podwójna szansa1X81.9%1.22
Powyżej 50% · Poniżej 50%Goals 2.5Powyżej50%2.00
Tak 52% · Nie 48%Obie drużyny strzeląTak52%1.92
2.68 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
8.7 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.4%Largest probability gapPatriotas FC winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Patriotas FC win56%1.791.6556.4%-0.4 pp
Remis26%3.853.6025.9%+0.1 pp
Barranquilla FC win18%5.565.2517.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Patriotas FC1.66

Gospodarze share of expected goals 61.9%

Total expected goals2.68Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 50% · Poniżej 50%

Barranquilla FC1.02

Goście share of expected goals 38.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 52% · Nie 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Patriotas FC

2.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkty10

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Barranquilla FC

0.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punkty3

SignalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
18%
10
Points from supplied form
3
1.66
Expected goals
1.02
Patriotas FCBarranquilla FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Patriotas FC signalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Barranquilla FC signalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Patriotas FC vs Barranquilla FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Patriotas FC wygrana 56%,Remis 26%,Barranquilla FC wygrana 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.68 · Powyżej 2.5 50% · Current selection Powyżej