Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
51% / 26% / 23%Match resultHome win51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Phoenix Rising FC win (23.5%)Double chance1X76.5%1.31
Over 52% · Under 48%Goals 2.5Over52%1.92
Yes 56% · No 44%Both teams scoreYes56%1.79
2.77 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.0 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin8.3%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lexington SC win51%1.961.8051.3%-0.3 pp
Draw26%3.853.6025.6%+0.4 pp
Phoenix Rising FC win23%4.354.0023.1%-0.1 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 56.7%
Total expected goals2.77Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 52% · Under 48%
Away share of expected goals 43.3%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 56% · No 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchLexington SC
WDWLW
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchPhoenix Rising FC
DDWLL
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
51%
Win probability excluding draw
23%10
Points from supplied form
51.57
Expected goals
1.20Lexington SCPhoenix Rising FC
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.
Match questions
Lexington SC vs Phoenix Rising FC FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Lexington SC win 51%，Draw 26%，Phoenix Rising FC win 23%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.77 · Over 2.5 52% · Current selection Over。