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USA アメリカ USLチャンピオンシップ · 試合 ·

レキシントンSC vs フェニックス・ライジングFC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.77 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利51%
引き分け26%
アウェイ勝利23%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利51% selection probability
Projected score2–1レキシントンSCフェニックス・ライジングFC
Expected goals2.77Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー52% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
51% / 26% / 23%試合結果ホーム勝利51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes フェニックス・ライジングFC win (23.5%)ダブルチャンス1X76.5%1.31
オーバー 52% · アンダー 48%Goals 2.5オーバー52%1.92
はい 56% · いいえ 44%両チーム得点はい56%1.79
2.77 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
9.0 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.3%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.4 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
レキシントンSC win51%1.961.8051.3%-0.3 pp
引き分け26%3.853.6025.6%+0.4 pp
フェニックス・ライジングFC win23%4.354.0023.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

レキシントンSC1.57

ホーム share of expected goals 56.7%

Total expected goals2.77Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 52% · アンダー 48%

フェニックス・ライジングFC1.20

アウェイ share of expected goals 43.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 56% · いいえ 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

レキシントンSC

2.00pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn1Losses1ポイント10

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

フェニックス・ライジングFC

1.00pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn2Losses2ポイント5

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
勝ち probability excluding draw
23%
10
Points from supplied form
5
1.57
Expected goals
1.20
レキシントンSCフェニックス・ライジングFC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01レキシントンSC signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02フェニックス・ライジングFC signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

レキシントンSC vs フェニックス・ライジングFC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

レキシントンSC 勝ち 51%,引き分け 26%,フェニックス・ライジングFC 勝ち 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.77 · オーバー 2.5 52% · Current selection オーバー