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USA USA USL Championship · Матч ·

Лексингтон vs ФК Феникс Райсинг

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.77 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев51%
Ничья26%
Победа гостей23%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев51% selection probability
Projected score2–1ЛексингтонФК Феникс Райсинг
Expected goals2.77Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше52% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
51% / 26% / 23%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ФК Феникс Райсинг win (23.5%)Двойной шанс1X76.5%1.31
Больше 52% · Меньше 48%Goals 2.5Больше52%1.92
Да 56% · Нет 44%Обе забьютДа56%1.79
2.77 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.0 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.3%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Лексингтон win51%1.961.8051.3%-0.3 pp
Ничья26%3.853.6025.6%+0.4 pp
ФК Феникс Райсинг win23%4.354.0023.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Лексингтон1.57

Хозяева share of expected goals 56.7%

Total expected goals2.77Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 52% · Меньше 48%

ФК Феникс Райсинг1.20

Гости share of expected goals 43.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 56% · Нет 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Лексингтон

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ФК Феникс Райсинг

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
23%
10
Points from supplied form
5
1.57
Expected goals
1.20
ЛексингтонФК Феникс Райсинг
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Лексингтон signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФК Феникс Райсинг signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Лексингтон vs ФК Феникс Райсинг FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Лексингтон выигрыш 51%,Ничья 26%,ФК Феникс Райсинг выигрыш 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.77 · ТБ 2.5 52% · Current selection Больше