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USA USA USL Championship · Mecz ·

Lexington SC vs Phoenix Rising FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–12.77 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy51%
Remis26%
Wygrana gości23%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy51% selection probability
Projected score2–1Lexington SCPhoenix Rising FC
Expected goals2.77Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej52% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
51% / 26% / 23%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Phoenix Rising FC win (23.5%)Podwójna szansa1X76.5%1.31
Powyżej 52% · Poniżej 48%Goals 2.5Powyżej52%1.92
Tak 56% · Nie 44%Obie drużyny strzeląTak56%1.79
2.77 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
9.0 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.3%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lexington SC win51%1.961.8051.3%-0.3 pp
Remis26%3.853.6025.6%+0.4 pp
Phoenix Rising FC win23%4.354.0023.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lexington SC1.57

Gospodarze share of expected goals 56.7%

Total expected goals2.77Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 52% · Poniżej 48%

Phoenix Rising FC1.20

Goście share of expected goals 43.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 56% · Nie 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Lexington SC

2.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkty10

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Phoenix Rising FC

1.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkty5

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
23%
10
Points from supplied form
5
1.57
Expected goals
1.20
Lexington SCPhoenix Rising FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lexington SC signalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Phoenix Rising FC signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Lexington SC vs Phoenix Rising FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lexington SC wygrana 51%,Remis 26%,Phoenix Rising FC wygrana 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.77 · Powyżej 2.5 52% · Current selection Powyżej