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USA USA USL Championship · Fixture ·

Loudoun United FC vs Charleston Battery

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–23.47 expected goals
Away form
Home win26%
Draw25%
Away win49%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win49% selection probability
Projected score1–2Loudoun United FCCharleston Battery
Expected goals3.47Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over67% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
26% / 25% / 49%Match resultAway win49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.2%)Double chance1274.8%1.34
Over 67% · Under 33%Goals 2.5Over67%1.49
Yes 65% · No 35%Both teams scoreYes65%1.54
3.47 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
9.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.7%Largest probability gapCharleston Battery winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Loudoun United FC win26%3.853.5026.3%-0.3 pp
Draw25%4.003.6025.6%-0.6 pp
Charleston Battery win49%2.041.9148.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Loudoun United FC1.30

Home share of expected goals 37.5%

Total expected goals3.47Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 67% · Under 33%

Charleston Battery2.17

Away share of expected goals 62.5%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 65% · No 35%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Loudoun United FC

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Charleston Battery

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Win probability excluding draw
49%
8
Points from supplied form
7
1.30
Expected goals
2.17
Loudoun United FCCharleston Battery
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Loudoun United FC signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Charleston Battery signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Loudoun United FC vs Charleston Battery FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Loudoun United FC win 26%,Draw 25%,Charleston Battery win 49%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.47 · Over 2.5 67% · Current selection Over