What is the Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais prediction?

The prediction is Home win, with a projected score of 2–1 and a selected-call probability of 65%.

What are the Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais 1X2 probabilities?

Aarau win 65%, draw 19%, and Stade Nyonnais win 16%.

How many goals are expected in Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais?

The displayed projection is 3.06 total expected goals, with Over 2.5 at 59%.

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CHE Switzerland Challenge League · Fixture · Sat, Aug 8, 01:15

Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais

Full model forecast，stats and analysis

Home form

Projected score2–13.06 expected goals

Away form

Home win65%

Draw19%

Away win16%

Full model forecastHome winTier A · 65% selection probability

Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win65% selection probability

Projected score2–1Aarau — Stade Nyonnais

Expected goals3.06Open match profile

Goals 2.5Over59% for the selected side

Both teams scoreNo53% for the selected side

Expected corners8.9Under 9.5

Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds

65% / 19% / 16%Match resultHome win65%1.54

Derived from 1X2 · excludes Stade Nyonnais win (15.5%)Double chance1X84.5%1.18

Over 59% · Under 41%Goals 2.5Over59%1.69

Yes 47% · No 53%Both teams scoreNo53%1.89

3.06 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——

8.9 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——

Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.9%Largest probability gapAarau winDifference+0.6 pp

OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference

Aarau win65%1.541.4464.4%+0.6 pp

Draw19%5.264.7519.5%-0.5 pp

Stade Nyonnais win16%6.255.7516.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Aarau2.34

Home share of expected goals 76.5%

Total expected goals3.06Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 59% · Under 41%

Stade Nyonnais0.72

Away share of expected goals 23.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 47% · No 53%Match profileOpen

Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Aarau

0.80pts / match

Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Stade Nyonnais

0.20pts / match

Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook

65%

Win probability excluding draw

16%

Points from supplied form

2.34

Expected goals

0.72

AarauStade Nyonnais

Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Aarau signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Stade Nyonnais signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 19%.

Match questions