Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
68% / 18% / 14%Resultado del partidoVictoria local68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Stade Nyonnais win (13.8%)Doble Oportunidad1X86.2%1.16
Más de 59% · Menos de 41%Goals 2.5Más de59%1.69
Sí 47% · No 53%Ambos equipos marcanNo53%1.89
3.06 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1——
8.9 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin7.8%Largest probability gapAarau winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Aarau win68%1.471.3867.2%+0.8 pp
Empate18%5.565.0018.5%-0.5 pp
Stade Nyonnais win14%7.146.5014.3%-0.3 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Local share of expected goals 76.5%
Total expected goals3.06Abrir
Dedicated goals model: Más de 59% · Menos de 41%
Visitante share of expected goals 23.5%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitSí 47% · No 53%Match profileAbrir
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Local-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchAarau
DLWLL
Jugados5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puntos4
SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5
Visitante-context · form sequence
0.20pts / matchStade Nyonnais
LLDLL
Jugados5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Puntos1
SignalLocal failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
68%
Ganado probability excluding draw
14%4
Points from supplied form
12.34
Expected goals
0.72AarauStade Nyonnais
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 18%.
Match questions
Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 68% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Aarau ganada 68%，Empate 18%，Stade Nyonnais ganada 14%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.06 · Más de 2.5 59% · Current selection Más de。