Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
65% / 19% / 16%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Stade Nyonnais win (15.5%)Șansă dublă1X84.5%1.18
Peste 59% · Sub 41%Goals 2.5Peste59%1.69
Da 47% · Nu 53%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu53%1.89
3.06 total expected goalsScor corect2–1——
8.9 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin7.9%Largest probability gapAarau winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Aarau win65%1.541.4464.4%+0.6 pp
Egal19%5.264.7519.5%-0.5 pp
Stade Nyonnais win16%6.255.7516.1%-0.1 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Gazde share of expected goals 76.5%
Total expected goals3.06Deschide
Dedicated goals model: Peste 59% · Sub 41%
Oaspeți share of expected goals 23.5%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 47% · Nu 53%Match profileDeschide
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Gazde-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchAarau
DLWLL
Jucate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puncte4
SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5
Oaspeți-context · form sequence
0.20pts / matchStade Nyonnais
LLDLL
Jucate5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Puncte1
SignalGazde failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
65%
Câștig probability excluding draw
16%4
Points from supplied form
12.34
Expected goals
0.72AarauStade Nyonnais
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 19%.
Match questions
Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 65% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Aarau câștig 65%，Egal 19%，Stade Nyonnais câștig 16%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.06 · Peste 2.5 59% · Current selection Peste。