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CHE Švýcarsko - Challenge League · Zápas ·

Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score2–13.06 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích65%
Remíza19%
Výhra hostů16%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 65% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích65% selection probability
Projected score2–1AarauStade Nyonnais
Expected goals3.06Otevírací match profile
Goals 2.5Více59% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíNe53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
65% / 19% / 16%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Stade Nyonnais win (15.5%)Dvojitá šance1X84.5%1.18
Více 59% · Méně 41%Goals 2.5Více59%1.69
Ano 47% · Ne 53%Oba týmy skórujíNe53%1.89
3.06 total expected goalsPřesné skóre2–1
8.9 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.9%Largest probability gapAarau winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Aarau win65%1.541.4464.4%+0.6 pp
Remíza19%5.264.7519.5%-0.5 pp
Stade Nyonnais win16%6.255.7516.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Aarau2.34

Domácí share of expected goals 76.5%

Total expected goals3.06Otevírací

Dedicated goals model: Více 59% · Méně 41%

Stade Nyonnais0.72

Hosté share of expected goals 23.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitAno 47% · Ne 53%Match profileOtevírací
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Aarau

0.80pts / match
Odehráno5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Body4

SignalDomácí matches over 2.5: 3/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Stade Nyonnais

0.20pts / match
Odehráno5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Body1

SignalDomácí failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
65%
Výhra probability excluding draw
16%
4
Points from supplied form
1
2.34
Expected goals
0.72
AarauStade Nyonnais
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Aarau signalDomácí matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Stade Nyonnais signalDomácí failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 2–1 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Aarau výhra 65%,Remíza 19%,Stade Nyonnais výhra 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.06 · Více 2.5 59% · Current selection Více