Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
65% / 19% / 16%Esito partitaVittoria casa65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Stade Nyonnais win (15.5%)Doppia Chance1X84.5%1.18
Sopra 59% · Sotto 41%Goals 2.5Sopra59%1.69
Sì 47% · No 53%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo53%1.89
3.06 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1——
8.9 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin7.9%Largest probability gapAarau winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Aarau win65%1.541.4464.4%+0.6 pp
Pareggio19%5.264.7519.5%-0.5 pp
Stade Nyonnais win16%6.255.7516.1%-0.1 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Casa share of expected goals 76.5%
Total expected goals3.06Apertura
Dedicated goals model: Sopra 59% · Sotto 41%
Trasferta share of expected goals 23.5%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitSì 47% · No 53%Match profileApertura
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Casa-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchAarau
DLWLL
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4
SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5
Trasferta-context · form sequence
0.20pts / matchStade Nyonnais
LLDLL
Giocate5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punti1
SignalCasa failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
65%
Vinta probability excluding draw
16%4
Points from supplied form
12.34
Expected goals
0.72AarauStade Nyonnais
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 19%.
Match questions
Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 65% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Aarau vinta 65%，Pareggio 19%，Stade Nyonnais vinta 16%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.06 · Sopra 2.5 59% · Current selection Sopra。