Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
65% / 19% / 16%KampresultatHjemmeseier65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Stade Nyonnais win (15.5%)Dobbel sjanse1X84.5%1.18
Over 59% · Under 41%Goals 2.5Over59%1.69
Ja 47% · Nei 53%Begge lag scorerNei53%1.89
3.06 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1——
8.9 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin7.9%Largest probability gapAarau winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Aarau win65%1.541.4464.4%+0.6 pp
Uavgjort19%5.264.7519.5%-0.5 pp
Stade Nyonnais win16%6.255.7516.1%-0.1 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Hjemme share of expected goals 76.5%
Total expected goals3.06Åpning
Dedicated goals model: Over 59% · Under 41%
Borte share of expected goals 23.5%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 47% · Nei 53%Match profileÅpning
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Hjemme-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchAarau
DLWLL
Spilt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poeng4
SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5
Borte-context · form sequence
0.20pts / matchStade Nyonnais
LLDLL
Spilt5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Poeng1
SignalHjemme failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
65%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
16%4
Points from supplied form
12.34
Expected goals
0.72AarauStade Nyonnais
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 19%.
Match questions
Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–1 · 65% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Aarau vunnet 65%，Uavgjort 19%，Stade Nyonnais vunnet 16%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.06 · Over 2.5 59% · Current selection Over。