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CHE Svájc - Challenge Liga · Mérkőzés ·

Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score2–13.06 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem65%
Döntetlen19%
Vendég győzelem16%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 65% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem65% selection probability
Projected score2–1AarauStade Nyonnais
Expected goals3.06Nyitó match profile
Goals 2.5Felett59% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
65% / 19% / 16%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Stade Nyonnais win (15.5%)Dupla esély1X84.5%1.18
Felett 59% · Alatt 41%Goals 2.5Felett59%1.69
Igen 47% · Nem 53%Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem53%1.89
3.06 total expected goalsPontos eredmény2–1
8.9 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.9%Largest probability gapAarau winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Aarau win65%1.541.4464.4%+0.6 pp
Döntetlen19%5.264.7519.5%-0.5 pp
Stade Nyonnais win16%6.255.7516.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Aarau2.34

Hazai share of expected goals 76.5%

Total expected goals3.06Nyitó

Dedicated goals model: Felett 59% · Alatt 41%

Stade Nyonnais0.72

Vendég share of expected goals 23.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitIgen 47% · Nem 53%Match profileNyitó
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Aarau

0.80pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Pontok4

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Stade Nyonnais

0.20pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Pontok1

SignalHazai failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
65%
Nyert probability excluding draw
16%
4
Points from supplied form
1
2.34
Expected goals
0.72
AarauStade Nyonnais
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Aarau signalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Stade Nyonnais signalHazai failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 2–1 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Aarau nyer 65%,Döntetlen 19%,Stade Nyonnais nyer 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.06 · 2.5 felett 59% · Current selection Felett