Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
44% / 28% / 28%Match resultHome win44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.8%)Double chance1272.2%1.39
Over 41% · Under 59%Goals 2.5Under59%1.69
Yes 46% · No 54%Both teams scoreNo54%1.85
2.31 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
9.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Bolivar win44%2.27
Draw28%3.57
Sao Paulo win28%3.57
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 57.1%
Total expected goals2.31Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 41% · Under 59%
Away share of expected goals 42.9%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 46% · No 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchBolivar
WWLLD
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchSao Paulo
LDLLW
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalNo recent signal
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
44%
Win probability excluding draw
28%7
Points from supplied form
41.32
Expected goals
0.99BolivarSao Paulo
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
Bolivar vs Sao Paulo FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Bolivar win 44%，Draw 28%，Sao Paulo win 28%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.31 · Over 2.5 41% · Current selection Under。