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AME Copa Sudamericana · Meci ·

Bolivar vs Sao Paulo

Archived pre-match prediction

Gazde form
Projected score1–12.34 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde51%
Egal26%
Victorie oaspeți23%
Market-based forecastVictorie gazdeTier B · 51% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde51% selection probability
Projected score1–1BolivarSao Paulo
Expected goals2.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub59% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
51% / 26% / 23%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sao Paulo win (23%)Șansă dublă1X77%1.30
Peste 41% · Sub 59%Goals 2.5Sub59%1.69
Da 46% · Nu 54%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu54%1.85
2.34 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNiciuna
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Bolivar win51%1.961.8351.4%
Egal26%3.853.6026.1%
Sao Paulo win23%4.354.2022.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Bolivar1.43

Gazde share of expected goals 61.1%

Total expected goals2.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 41% · Sub 59%

Sao Paulo0.91

Oaspeți share of expected goals 38.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 46% · Nu 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Bolivar

2.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puncte12

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Sao Paulo

0.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puncte4

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Câștig probability excluding draw
23%
12
Points from supplied form
4
1.43
Expected goals
0.91
BolivarSao Paulo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Bolivar signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sao Paulo signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Bolivar vs Sao Paulo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Bolivar câștig 51%,Egal 26%,Sao Paulo câștig 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.34 · Peste 2.5 41% · Current selection Sub