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AME Copa Sul-Americana · Partida ·

Bolivar vs Sao Paulo

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–12.31 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa44%
Empate28%
Vitória visitante28%
Baseline forecastVitória da casaTier C · 44% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa44% selection probability
Projected score1–1BolivarSao Paulo
Expected goals2.31Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo59% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
44% / 28% / 28%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.8%)Dupla Chance1272.2%1.39
Acima 41% · Abaixo 59%Goals 2.5Abaixo59%1.69
Sim 46% · Não 54%Ambas as equipes marcamNão54%1.85
2.31 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
9.5 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Não snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityOdds justas
Bolivar win44%2.27
Empate28%3.57
Sao Paulo win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Bolivar1.32

Mandante share of expected goals 57.1%

Total expected goals2.31Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 41% · Abaixo 59%

Sao Paulo0.99

Visitante share of expected goals 42.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 46% · Não 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Bolivar

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Sao Paulo

0.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Pontos4

SignalNão recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
28%
7
Points from supplied form
4
1.32
Expected goals
0.99
BolivarSao Paulo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Bolivar signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sao Paulo signalNão recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Bolivar vs Sao Paulo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Bolivar ganhou 44%,Empate 28%,Sao Paulo ganhou 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.31 · Acima 2.5 41% · Current selection Abaixo