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AME Copa Sudamericana · Mecz ·

Bolivar vs Sao Paulo

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–12.31 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy44%
Remis28%
Wygrana gości28%
Baseline forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier C · 44% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy44% selection probability
Projected score1–1BolivarSao Paulo
Expected goals2.31Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej59% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
44% / 28% / 28%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.8%)Podwójna szansa1272.2%1.39
Powyżej 41% · Poniżej 59%Goals 2.5Poniżej59%1.69
Tak 46% · Nie 54%Obie drużyny strzeląNie54%1.85
2.31 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
9.5 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
Bolivar win44%2.27
Remis28%3.57
Sao Paulo win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Bolivar1.32

Gospodarze share of expected goals 57.1%

Total expected goals2.31Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 41% · Poniżej 59%

Sao Paulo0.99

Goście share of expected goals 42.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 46% · Nie 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Bolivar

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Sao Paulo

0.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkty4

SignalNie recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
28%
7
Points from supplied form
4
1.32
Expected goals
0.99
BolivarSao Paulo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Bolivar signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sao Paulo signalNie recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Bolivar vs Sao Paulo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Bolivar wygrana 44%,Remis 28%,Sao Paulo wygrana 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.31 · Powyżej 2.5 41% · Current selection Poniżej