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AME Copa Sudamericana · Maç ·

Bolivar vs Sao Paulo

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–12.31 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır44%
Beraberlik28%
Deplasman kazanır28%
Baseline forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier C · 44% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır44% selection probability
Projected score1–1BolivarSao Paulo
Expected goals2.31Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alt59% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
44% / 28% / 28%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.8%)Çifte Şans1272.2%1.39
Üst 41% · Alt 59%Goals 2.5Alt59%1.69
Evet 46% · Hayır 54%Karşılıklı gol varHayır54%1.85
2.31 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–1
9.5 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Hayır snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityAdil oran
Bolivar win44%2.27
Beraberlik28%3.57
Sao Paulo win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Bolivar1.32

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 57.1%

Total expected goals2.31Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üst 41% · Alt 59%

Sao Paulo0.99

Deplasman share of expected goals 42.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitEvet 46% · Hayır 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Bolivar

1.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puan7

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Sao Paulo

0.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puan4

SignalHayır recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
28%
7
Points from supplied form
4
1.32
Expected goals
0.99
BolivarSao Paulo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Bolivar signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sao Paulo signalHayır recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Bolivar vs Sao Paulo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Bolivar kazanç 44%,Beraberlik 28%,Sao Paulo kazanç 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.31 · 2.5 Üst 41% · Current selection Alt