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AME Copa Sudamericana · Match ·

Bolivar vs Sao Paulo

Archived pre-match prediction

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.31 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile44%
Nul28%
Victoire à l’extérieur28%
Baseline forecastVictoire à domicileTier C · 44% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile44% selection probability
Projected score1–1BolivarSao Paulo
Expected goals2.31Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de59% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
44% / 28% / 28%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.8%)Double chance1272.2%1.39
Plus de 41% · Moins de 59%Goals 2.5Moins de59%1.69
Oui 46% · Non 54%Les deux équipes marquentNon54%1.85
2.31 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Bolivar win44%2.27
Nul28%3.57
Sao Paulo win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Bolivar1.32

Domicile share of expected goals 57.1%

Total expected goals2.31Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 41% · Moins de 59%

Sao Paulo0.99

Extérieur share of expected goals 42.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 46% · Non 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Bolivar

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Sao Paulo

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalNon recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Gagné probability excluding draw
28%
7
Points from supplied form
4
1.32
Expected goals
0.99
BolivarSao Paulo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Bolivar signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sao Paulo signalNon recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Bolivar vs Sao Paulo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Bolivar victoire 44%,Nul 28%,Sao Paulo victoire 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.31 · Plus de 2.5 41% · Current selection Moins de