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AME Copa Sudamericana · Match ·

Vasco da Gama vs Olimpia Asuncion

Archived pre-match prediction

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.31 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile44%
Nul28%
Victoire à l’extérieur28%
Baseline forecastVictoire à domicileTier C · 44% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile44% selection probability
Projected score1–1Vasco da GamaOlimpia Asuncion
Expected goals2.31Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de59% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
44% / 28% / 28%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.8%)Double chance1272.2%1.39
Plus de 41% · Moins de 59%Goals 2.5Moins de59%1.69
Oui 46% · Non 54%Les deux équipes marquentNon54%1.85
2.31 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.2 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Vasco da Gama win44%2.27
Nul28%3.57
Olimpia Asuncion win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Vasco da Gama1.32

Domicile share of expected goals 57.1%

Total expected goals2.31Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 41% · Moins de 59%

Olimpia Asuncion0.99

Extérieur share of expected goals 42.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 46% · Non 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Vasco da Gama

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Olimpia Asuncion

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Gagné probability excluding draw
28%
5
Points from supplied form
6
1.32
Expected goals
0.99
Vasco da GamaOlimpia Asuncion
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Vasco da Gama signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Olimpia Asuncion signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Vasco da Gama vs Olimpia Asuncion FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Vasco da Gama victoire 44%,Nul 28%,Olimpia Asuncion victoire 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.31 · Plus de 2.5 41% · Current selection Moins de