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AME Copa Sudamericana · Fixture ·

Vasco da Gama vs Olimpia Asuncion

Archived pre-match prediction

Home form
Projected score1–12.36 expected goals
Away form
Home win55%
Draw24%
Away win21%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 55% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win55% selection probability
Projected score1–1Vasco da GamaOlimpia Asuncion
Expected goals2.36Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under58% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
55% / 24% / 21%Match resultHome win55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Olimpia Asuncion win (20.8%)Double chance1X79.2%1.26
Over 42% · Under 58%Goals 2.5Under58%1.72
Yes 45% · No 55%Both teams scoreNo55%1.82
2.36 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin4.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Vasco da Gama win55%1.821.7056.1%
Draw24%4.174.0023.8%
Olimpia Asuncion win21%4.764.7520.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Vasco da Gama1.49

Home share of expected goals 63.1%

Total expected goals2.36Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 42% · Under 58%

Olimpia Asuncion0.87

Away share of expected goals 36.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 45% · No 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Vasco da Gama

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Olimpia Asuncion

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Win probability excluding draw
21%
6
Points from supplied form
6
1.49
Expected goals
0.87
Vasco da GamaOlimpia Asuncion
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Vasco da Gama signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Olimpia Asuncion signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Vasco da Gama vs Olimpia Asuncion FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Vasco da Gama win 55%,Draw 24%,Olimpia Asuncion win 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.36 · Over 2.5 42% · Current selection Under