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AME Купа Судамерикана · Мач ·

Bolivar vs Sao Paulo

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.31 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина44%
Равен28%
Победа за госта28%
Baseline forecastПобеда за домакинаTier C · 44% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина44% selection probability
Projected score1–1BolivarSao Paulo
Expected goals2.31Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под59% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
44% / 28% / 28%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.8%)Двоен шанс1272.2%1.39
Над 41% · Под 59%Goals 2.5Под59%1.69
Да 46% · Не 54%И двата отбора да отбележатНе54%1.85
2.31 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
9.5 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Bolivar win44%2.27
Равен28%3.57
Sao Paulo win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Bolivar1.32

Домакин share of expected goals 57.1%

Total expected goals2.31Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 41% · Под 59%

Sao Paulo0.99

Гост share of expected goals 42.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 46% · Не 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Bolivar

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Sao Paulo

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Точки4

SignalНе recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
28%
7
Points from supplied form
4
1.32
Expected goals
0.99
BolivarSao Paulo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Bolivar signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sao Paulo signalНе recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Bolivar vs Sao Paulo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Bolivar печеливш 44%,Равен 28%,Sao Paulo печеливш 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.31 · Над 2.5 41% · Current selection Под