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AME Copa Sudamericana · Fixture ·

Tigre vs Montevideo City Torque

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.33 expected goals
Away form
Home win52%
Draw28%
Away win20%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 52% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win52% selection probability
Projected score1–1TigreMontevideo City Torque
Expected goals2.33Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under59% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
52% / 28% / 20%Match resultHome win52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Montevideo City Torque win (19.8%)Double chance1X80.2%1.25
Over 41% · Under 59%Goals 2.5Under59%1.69
Yes 46% · No 54%Both teams scoreNo54%1.85
2.33 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.8 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin5.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Tigre win52%1.921.8052.9%
Draw28%3.573.4028%
Montevideo City Torque win20%5.005.0019.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Tigre1.46

Home share of expected goals 62.7%

Total expected goals2.33Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 41% · Under 59%

Montevideo City Torque0.87

Away share of expected goals 37.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 46% · No 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Tigre

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

Montevideo City Torque

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Win probability excluding draw
20%
7
Points from supplied form
10
1.46
Expected goals
0.87
TigreMontevideo City Torque
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Tigre signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Montevideo City Torque signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Tigre vs Montevideo City Torque FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Tigre win 52%,Draw 28%,Montevideo City Torque win 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.33 · Over 2.5 41% · Current selection Under