MatchFormula Find a match
Menu
UTC+8
Time zoneAsia/Shanghai
English
AME Copa Sudamericana · Fixture ·

Independiente Santa Fe vs River Plate

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.28 expected goals
Away form
Home win29%
Draw29%
Away win42%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 42% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Independiente Santa FeRiver Plate
Expected goals2.28Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under60% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
29% / 29% / 42%Match resultAway win42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.9%)Double chance1271.1%1.41
Over 40% · Under 60%Goals 2.5Under60%1.67
Yes 47% · No 53%Both teams scoreNo53%1.89
2.28 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin5.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Independiente Santa Fe win29%3.453.4028%
Draw29%3.453.3028.8%
River Plate win42%2.382.2043.2%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Independiente Santa Fe1.08

Home share of expected goals 47.4%

Total expected goals2.28Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 40% · Under 60%

River Plate1.20

Away share of expected goals 52.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 47% · No 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Independiente Santa Fe

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

River Plate

0.00pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Points0

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Win probability excluding draw
42%
10
Points from supplied form
0
1.08
Expected goals
1.20
Independiente Santa FeRiver Plate
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Independiente Santa Fe signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02River Plate signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Independiente Santa Fe vs River Plate FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Independiente Santa Fe win 29%,Draw 29%,River Plate win 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.28 · Over 2.5 40% · Current selection Under