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COL Colombia Primera A · Fixture ·

Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Cali

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.16 expected goals
Away form
Home win39%
Draw31%
Away win29%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Deportivo PastoDeportivo Cali
Expected goals2.16Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under63% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
39% / 31% / 29%Match resultHome win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Deportivo Cali win (29.3%)Double chance1X70.7%1.41
Over 37% · Under 63%Goals 2.5Under63%1.59
Yes 43% · No 57%Both teams scoreNo57%1.75
2.16 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.1 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.3%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Deportivo Pasto win39%2.562.4039.2%-0.2 pp
Draw31%3.233.0031.4%-0.4 pp
Deportivo Cali win29%3.453.2029.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Deportivo Pasto1.21

Home share of expected goals 56%

Total expected goals2.16Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 37% · Under 63%

Deportivo Cali0.95

Away share of expected goals 44%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 43% · No 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Deportivo Pasto

0.00pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Points0

SignalHome failed to score: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Deportivo Cali

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalAway matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Win probability excluding draw
29%
0
Points from supplied form
7
1.21
Expected goals
0.95
Deportivo PastoDeportivo Cali
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Deportivo Pasto signalHome failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Cali signalAway matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Cali FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Deportivo Pasto win 39%,Draw 31%,Deportivo Cali win 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.16 · Over 2.5 37% · Current selection Under