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COL Kolumbia - Primera A · Mecz ·

Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Cali

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–12.16 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy39%
Remis31%
Wygrana gości29%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Deportivo PastoDeportivo Cali
Expected goals2.16Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej63% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
39% / 31% / 29%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Deportivo Cali win (29.3%)Podwójna szansa1X70.7%1.41
Powyżej 37% · Poniżej 63%Goals 2.5Poniżej63%1.59
Tak 43% · Nie 57%Obie drużyny strzeląNie57%1.75
2.16 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
9.1 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.3%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Deportivo Pasto win39%2.562.4039.2%-0.2 pp
Remis31%3.233.0031.4%-0.4 pp
Deportivo Cali win29%3.453.2029.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Deportivo Pasto1.21

Gospodarze share of expected goals 56%

Total expected goals2.16Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 37% · Poniżej 63%

Deportivo Cali0.95

Goście share of expected goals 44%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 43% · Nie 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Deportivo Pasto

0.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Punkty0

SignalGospodarze failed to score: 3/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Deportivo Cali

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGoście matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
29%
0
Points from supplied form
7
1.21
Expected goals
0.95
Deportivo PastoDeportivo Cali
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Deportivo Pasto signalGospodarze failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Cali signalGoście matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Cali FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Deportivo Pasto wygrana 39%,Remis 31%,Deportivo Cali wygrana 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.16 · Powyżej 2.5 37% · Current selection Poniżej